Beyonce's singles from IASF have run its course. No more top 10s from that album. Especially since Video Phone peaked outside the top 50, even with lady gaga.

Telephone most likely will go top 10 which will put Beyonce a step ahead.
However, Rude Boy will definitely go top 10 and even #1. And Rihanna has more singles coming after that plus a re release.

Alicia keys songs have not been reaching the top 20 or 30. So we know where thats going to go.

Therefore, Rihanna will most likely get in the lead towards middle of the year with #1s and top 10's.