I believed Emma Stone was going to win the oscar this year and I still think it is happening. It was an early bet of mine. I counted Natalie Portamn out from teh start (when many thought was the favourite). Right now the male actor category race is close with this Denzel win. Casey Affelck was teh favorite at first, but Ryan Gosling still has chances (in fact they ahve grown), and now Denzel could still be a possibility.