The Predictions Are In! Katy Perry’s ‘Smile’ Set To Sell…One Third Of ‘Witness’ Debut

Published: Saturday 29th Aug 2020 by Sam

Katy Perry‘s new album arrived in stores this week and based on first week sales forecasts, she’ll have some reason to ‘Smile’ and some reason to… not.

Find out why below…

According to Hits Daily Double, the ‘Daises’ led LP is set to premiere on the Billboard 200 with the following numbers:

50,000-60,000
[Sales Plus Streaming]
*******
40,000-45,000
[Pure Sales]

Should the sum hold, it’ll likely be enough to net Perry the week’s top new chart debut.

However, HDD make clear that ‘Smile’ is not in contention for the #1 spot based on how strongly existing releases are selling.

**********

For the longest, yours truly has tried to remain somewhat optimistic about Ms. Perry’s present-day potential. Especially when she’s recently released criminally-underrated bops such as ‘Harleys In Hawaii‘ and ‘Never Really Over.’

But the numbers paint a concerning picture.

Remember friends, Perry has benefitted from a lengthy preorder window + multiple retail configurations – such as vinyls, cassettes, and an array of last minute new alternate covers.

And yet the end result is still only 50k?

She dropped her last album ‘Witness’ in 2017 and opened with 180,000, which was considered an underperformance then. She’s now selling one third of that now.

********

With all signs pointing to a possible Las Vegas residency, we suspect the present global health crisis adversely affected whatever Katy may have been cooking up to ensure album sales amidst a turning tide commercially (see: ticket bundling).

In any case, there’s a clear disconnect that the new mom will have to address sooner rather than later.

Your thoughts?

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  1. Karma August 29, 2020

    D@mn Kate!

    • Fancy BISH August 29, 2020

      lol, summer is over in about a month! She needs to release Cry About It Later in the next 10 days! Send it to radio, make a video with a bomb weave of long black hair and PRAY for a miracle chile 😂

      • Alec September 4, 2020

        This was posted on August 29
        Which means summer was ending in two days not 30 (a month) 😅😅

  2. Ms. Ling Ling 💋 Luv U Long Time August 29, 2020

    She Bombed!!! 💣 teared eyes & cry about it are bops tho.

  3. Pu$$yPopstress August 29, 2020

    Sis will be back on s****** watch

    • Clarks0o0ñ August 29, 2020

      She just had a baby some few days ago. Yikes

      Even the announcement of her delivering a baby girl didnt help the sales.

  4. Paulo August 29, 2020

    She took too long and too many flop singles. But the question is, had she released it sooner right after NRO, would it have been any different?

    • J August 29, 2020

      Yes, numbers would have been closer to Witness. Would not have matched, but she never should have waited so long, she’s not the type of artist that people wait years for. Her music is microwavable.

  5. J August 29, 2020

    Katy should be proud of her success up until this point. Not many artists get to have such a meteoric rise in that industry and keep their brain intact. Great job Katy! I honestly never thought she’d be more than a one hit wonder after she fell during her first VMA performance. However, she did that. But the Witness era definitely was a misstep! You see who is still flourishing after “Swish Swish.”

    I’ll be your A&R for your final comeback effort! Take it or leave it, but you only have three options to stay afloat:

    1) Drop the moniker and continue as a blonde indie singer. The music can be like it used to be, true to you. You didn’t pop off until “I Kissed A Girl” anyway.
    2) Greatest Hits collection and add a new song or two. I’d consider re-recording the songs if you don’t want direct ties to Tyson Traxx. But he was the main reason she was hot for as long as she was!
    3) Die the hair BLACK, get your body SNATCHED, and jump back in the game! Work your way back to Tyson, stop giving so much of a f***, and get those hits. Show some ass and tiddies. Don’t hold back, it will be your final chance at major relevancy!

    And that’s about it. Not sure how else she can come back from this. Those sales are just plain bad when you think about how she basically was the number one star in the world for a while. Might be time to hang it up!

  6. Carlitos August 29, 2020

    Man, this makes me really sad 🙁

  7. Clarks0o0ñ August 29, 2020

    Gaga was so smart by jumping on ariana and doing rain on me. This song saved that chromatica album

    Now look at gaga, 9 vma nominations and she performing on sunday night while Katy’s new album is flopping

    • Paulo August 29, 2020

      Stupid Love is a bland song yet it still debuted higher than any Smile singles. GaGa would’ve been fine without Ariana. You dunno what you’re talking about as usual

      • Clarks0o0ñ August 29, 2020

        U dumb f****

        If gaga didnt have rain on me, her album would have sold 80k.

        U should have died of càncèr instead of Chadwick

    • Gworl Bye August 29, 2020

      Girl shut up, Gaga had already sold 200k before the ariana duet was released. Stick to cabello’s lack of sales please.

      • Clarks0o0ñ August 29, 2020

        Ariana saved gaga. Deal with it

        If not ariana nobody would have cared about chromatica.

        And where is normani?
        We are entering the month of September
        The year is already over and still normani hasn’t released a follow up to flopivation

        The last time miss normani saw the inside of the billboard hot 100 was November 2019.

      • Paulo August 29, 2020

        @Gworl Bye, you forgot “lack of talent and vocals”.

      • Gworl Bye August 29, 2020

        We’re not talking about Normani, we’re talking about cabello’s lack of a hit or sales higher than Katy’s after numerous attempts, album covers, ticket bundles to a canceled tour, hip hop duets and itunes discounts and disappearance from the Bilboard charts altogether. Stay on topic please.

      • Clarks0o0ñ August 29, 2020

        Honey we are not talking about Camila also but here u are bringing her up in something that has nothing to do with her.

        She has her 2 number 1s. Both number 1’s 1billion streams each
        Her number 1 debut album
        3 grammy nominations
        Mtv vma for video of the year for Havana

        And normani? Hasn’t seen the inside of the billboard hot 100 since November 2019

        U guys said normani was gonna dominate 2020, but here we are , about to enter the month of September and still ko f*******,
        So what gives? Explain urself. I’m waiting

  8. ratedxxx August 29, 2020

    She needs to go back to the black hair…ever since she went blonde her fans left her

    • Meme August 29, 2020

      Please stop. Hair does not sell music music. Y’all are so stupid and slow.

      • #WAP August 29, 2020

        If hair doesn’t sell music, why did Rihanna rely on changing hers each era? Katy’s appeal was her look. Once that left, so did her success. Idiot

      • Meme August 29, 2020

        @#wap your brain is the size of a fish brain. Rihanna changed her look each era as every pop singer does. The color of her hair had nothing to do with sales stupid. Beyonce has blonde hair during her successful and not so successful era. I can’t even believe ppl are sitting her equating music performance with hair color.

      • Ms. Ling Ling 💋 Luv U Long Time August 29, 2020

        🤣😂🤣😂#WAP aka only flop, trashy bish, tyty, Paulo, ugghh, Susan……. drag that only flop b-I-t-c-h, even our nice TGJ member Meme can’t stand yo annoying a-s-s. FOH!

      • Paulo August 29, 2020

        Ms Ling Ling, in the words of Ms Houston… my name is not Susan so watch what you say! lol I live for Fancy BISH dragging the s*** out of you trolls, though, yeah.

      • Moti25 August 29, 2020

        Are you kidding? Do you see beyonce drastically changing her hair? It’s all about the brand. Katy not only changed her hair color but she chopped it off! It was too much. Then to top it off the music went 👎🏾. Idk what’s goin on with her or who she pissed off but she needs to get it together

  9. Clarks0o0ñ August 29, 2020

    Taylor’s album is 6 weeks old and its album to outsell Katy’s new album.
    😬😬😬

    • Marat August 30, 2020

      But Taylor is way more talented and is a genius with marketing 😉.

  10. Datred23 August 29, 2020

    Poor Katy she couldn’t outlast the 10s like Taylor Rih and Bey have done

    • #6KYONCE August 29, 2020

      lmaoooo bey didn’t even sell half of this with flop is king so it doesnt look like she lasted the 10s either lmfaooooooooo

    • Shayla Queen 👑 August 29, 2020

      How can you even compare Beyoncé to Taylor at this point? Beyoncé could never!

  11. Shayla Queen 👑 August 29, 2020

    We already knew it wasn’t going to do great and it’s as boring as the album itself to keep hearing about it.

  12. #6KYONCE August 29, 2020

    lmaoooo well at least she didn’t flop as hard as a certain other roach that had millions more in promo & hype than she did lmfaoooooo

    • Shayla Queen 👑 August 29, 2020

      And a whole huge Disney movie 🤣🤣🤣

      • #6KYONCE August 29, 2020

        lmaooooo and a second release, remember she flopped the same album last year, which katy also outsold with witness lmfaooooo

  13. Rock August 29, 2020

    That stupid witness era made her look ridiculous and turned people off.
    Then the pregnancy made it even worse.
    The question lies in knowing who her fans are or were.
    Secondly the music wasn’t that good
    Then the album cover and title
    She is just so corny.

  14. #WAP August 29, 2020

    Chiiiiile! These numbers are worse than I thought!! Nickis next album will be lucky to see these numbers 🤣😂

    • Urg August 29, 2020

      U just could not leave Nicki out could u? How does of feel to live with her in ur mind 24/7 365 days?

    • OOOP August 29, 2020

      @WAP aka Only f**. Meanwhile your ugly fav Brandy is nowhere to be found on the BILLBOARD 2OO after two weeks LMAOOOO

      • Monica4Life August 29, 2020

        Drag it

  15. Rashad August 29, 2020

    It’s a decent album but most Pop stars have a shelf life…Katy, X-Tina, Ciara, Paula, Cyndi…even Britney. They all had huge eras then drop off after 4+ albums.

    Every artist can’t be Madonna, Janet, Mariah or Bey with decades long careers and mega sellers well into them

    • #6KYONCE August 29, 2020

      lmaoooooo gurl go on and cross that flop bey off that list she didnt even do half of katy’s numbers lmfaooooooo

    • Erica August 29, 2020

      Nah don’t put Britney in it, her 5th album sold close to 300k first week
      Her 6th sold 500k first week, 10 plus years into her career
      7th close to 300k first week, 10 plus into her career

      Her last two the 8th & 9th sold a 100K plus & that still good considering she came out in the 90s

      Katy came out in 2008

  16. #WAP August 29, 2020

    Guys, let’s remember, Katy went on a press tour telling us that she’s content with the current state of her career 🙄 girl bye. And Orlando has no plans to marry her. She’s about to be on a 5150 psych hold

  17. Gworl Bye August 29, 2020

    My question is, why did everyone think she was going to be a main pop girl like Pink or Xtina when she’s nothing more than this generation’s Fergie. She wasn’t going to last that long to begin with, she’s a cartoon character.

    • Clarks0o0ñ August 29, 2020

      U stupid rat
      Katy surpassed christina when it comes to achievements.
      U need to be quiet when people are speaking about music . Dirty rat

      • Paulo August 29, 2020

        Of course you’d put fickle chart achievements over quality and longevity. Even throughout her sales and material decline Xtina still scored hits. By the looks of it Katy won’t see a Say Something surprise #1 type of record years into her career like Xtina. Neither will your fav

      • Gworl Bye August 29, 2020

        We’re talking sales here sweetie. And do your homework when it comes to Xtina’s achievements that far outreach Katy’s. Stay out of the conversation until you know more than the failed sales of ax ex d-list girl group member who couldnt even last past her second album.

      • Clarks0o0ñ August 29, 2020

        U dumb rats, just because katy is flopping doenst mean she doesnt have achievedlments.

        The only thin christina Aguilera has that katy doesnt are Grammy awards.

        .@katyperry’s “Firework” is now the highest certified track by a lead female artist in RIAA history.

      • ABC August 30, 2020

        No Clarkson you need to keep your nose out of music lol you follow a fake rat who only scores hits when she is with someone else or uses tik Tok Never be the same was only because it followed Havana and it could even go top five or number one . At least Katy still got two top 40 hits from this song by herself. Lol

  18. Clarks0o0ñ August 29, 2020

    Taylor is a smart bish
    Folklore is a boring album but she surprised released it which made people curious about it and that made them stream it and buy it

    Katy u should have surprise released this album , coupled together with multiple music videos and ur pregnancy announcement all in the same day.

    Atleast u would have done 100k and gotten a number 1.

    • Marat August 30, 2020

      Folklore is a great album and deserves all success and critical acclaim it has. Taylor did a smart move with the surprise release!

      Smile is a good album but timing was very bad. Katy waited too long to release it. All the clown concept was weird and boring. KP5 would have successed if dropped last fall with the NRO aesthetics.

      • A August 30, 2020

        Folklore is a lame boring album that followed a trend from an even bigger artist with more success too. Taylor’s days are numbered especially after that Lover era. That was sad lol

      • C September 1, 2020

        @A

        You can confess you love top 40. Folklore is not album for normie rat simps. Taylor’s days are numbered? She just released the best selling US albums in the year. If that’s failing, I don’t know what’s winning. Being a delulu is sad lol

  19. Clarks0o0ñ August 29, 2020

    This whole look at me I am clown aesthetic she did was just so tiring
    Look at me, I can laugh at myself. I dont take myself too seriously

    Katy honey, nobody was laughing with u, everybody was laughing at u.

    She should have gotten serious with her look.

    • A August 30, 2020

      You should get serious and grow up stop crying over a tik Tok hall of faker artist who already no one cares about two albums out. She wishes she was Katy Perry lol

  20. #6KYONCE August 29, 2020

    lmaoooo where was all your advice when camiltoe flopbella tanked harder than katy? lmfaooooo

    • Clarks0o0ñ August 29, 2020

      Romance is about to outsell and outpeak

      Smile is fighting for the number 5 spot.
      😭😭😭😭
      She is fighting Metallica for the number 5 spot.

      • Paulo this August 29, 2020

        Metallica is legendary in rock music. Your fav did every trick in the book and bandwagoned into her boyfriend’s #1 single and still got washed by this year’s streaming fad 😭

      • Clarks0o0ñ August 29, 2020

        Camila, Metallica, and Katy all have albums

        And normani? Modelling bra and pànties on Instagram
        😭😭😭

        The year is already over. Remember when u rats said she was gonna dominate 2020? 💀

  21. AJ August 29, 2020

    The album is a mix of two halves. Smile, Only Love, Cry about it later, Never really over, Daisies and Champagne Problems are great. The rest of the album was trash. Harleys in Hawaii and Small Talk were huge misteps. The original cover art was a none starter. But also people have been unfairly harsh to her for the Taylor thing. She’s trying to be a positive artist after Witness but clearly lost a lot of fans. Pop fans are amongst the most fickle. Genuine shock though, expected this to shift around 100k…

  22. Steve August 29, 2020

    What her team did wrong was release the album’s best song, “Never Really Over,” in May 2019. That song should have been released in May 2020 followed by, “Daisies.” The numbers wouldn’t be incredible but they would be a hell of a lot better than this. I haven’t connected with the album yet. Her best album, in my opinion, is “Prism.” This record so far just sounds so so. On some songs like “Not the End of the World,” you want her to rock out and belt another chorus with a key change at the end. It doesn’t happen—leaving your wanting more, but not in a good way. It’s hard to explain, “Prism,” felt kind of magical for me. This album just sounds tired.

  23. James August 29, 2020

    Wow this is not good. She should have released the album when NRO was popular. I thought the predictions would have been higher based on all the last minute moves. She still has 9 number 1’s three of which are diamond singles so nothing left to prove. Wow these sales are worst than Witness. The album gets a B. It just wasn’t the right time to release the album.

  24. #TheTruth August 29, 2020

    She dragged that album campaign forever.

    I think they initially went for « albums are outdated, we’ll put out new songs whenever they are ready » and it just didn’t do much for her.

    The first one she released was the one that performed the best and it was like a year ago or something.

    • J August 29, 2020

      Yeah her campaign release strategy was backwards this time, releasing all singles before the album, and she became a laughing stock. The pregnancy was just the icing on the cake. Daisy is a good promo name for a baby tho!

  25. Nicky August 29, 2020

    Camicky and Katy should do a collab, titled

    “We Have a #1 but Weres Still Flops”

  26. musixxman96 August 29, 2020

    This is…bad. I thought she’d scrape 100k with SPS and do about 70-80k pure with all her website sales.

    But really based off the singles’ performance what did we expect? NRO released well over a year ago, small talk in the 80s, Harleys nowhere, Never worn white Nowhere, Daisies number 40 but off the chart in 7 weeks and Smile Nowhere. So sad to see to be honest.

    The album is also half crap. The singles were good and tucked, teary eyed are okay/good but everything else is mindless generic crap.

    Dr. Luke really was the key to her success, i miss their work together! Max martin was too but his work with her on witness proves she still had too much say in her song crafting (which isnt a good thing in katy’s case). I know charts arent everything but we cant even say the music is great to compensate.

    She had a good run!

    She made her money and is doing american idol from home now for the next year or so (pointless), so lets see what happens.

    • J August 29, 2020

      RIP Career! #Frown

    • A August 30, 2020

      😂😂😂😂😂😂 has a good run. Just because it’s over doesn’t mean it’s really over. That song meant it . But what would you know you probably love Billie Eyelids lol

  27. Liam August 29, 2020

    I listened to the album and it’s pretty solid! She has other songs that were way catchier than the singles.

  28. Certaon August 29, 2020

    I think this album was meant to fail so that her team can orchestrate her “emancipation” era next.

  29. Don’t touch my hair August 29, 2020

    Never Really Over, Small Talk, Daisies and Smile are good bop
    I read somewhere that they increased her projected sales.

  30. Mimi Carey August 29, 2020

    Nobody’s checking for her anymore. Washed up flop…

    • Atw August 30, 2020

      Yet she’s had more number one hits than most of your favs today lol yeah such a washed up flip. I wish I flopped like her.

  31. Pat August 29, 2020

    I wanna call this bad. But she didn’t have a whole lion king attached

  32. Are You Kidding Me? August 30, 2020

    Saying hair doesn’t affect sales is what simpletons say. Image is everything. Hairography is also a thing. Women are expected to be visual and changing your hair and having kissing scandals on a show to judge singing when you can’t sing and just being known for doing too much and cringey doesn’t help either.

  33. Flopyonce August 30, 2020

    Where were your sales predictions for Flopyonce‘s THE GIFT tho?

  34. Austin August 30, 2020

    Whoever listens to this garbage and let alone writes it shouldn’t even call themselves a news outlet lol. A Vegas Residency soon? Why would she lol? She makes tons as is lol. Plus what is wrong with a residency? You know how much money there is in those? You need to be fact checked too. Lol and what’s funny is you people cried Witness sucked yet it was better than this album. And frankly a mega hit. Number one and a top 5 hit. Time to rethink what a success story is.

  35. Jake August 31, 2020

    Well don’t go brunette if you don’t want to sis. You gon flop for as long as your blond.
    Harleys in Hawaii really is a bop tho

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